FK Partizan v UNA Strassen

FK Partizan meet UNA Strassen in the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd qualifying round at Partizan Stadium, Belgrade. The model makes UNA Strassen the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% FK , 32% draw, 34% UNA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 60%. Attacking output favors FK Partizan on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans UNA Strassen at 50%; double chance reads FK Partizan or draw 66%, UNA Strassen or draw 66%.

FK Partizan arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Macva, W 4-0 v UNA Strassen, D 2-2 @ Zemun, W 4-1 @ Nafta.

UNA Strassen are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ FK Partizan, W 2-0 @ La Fiorita, W 1-0 v La Fiorita, W 2-0 v Victoria Rosport.

FK Partizan hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FK Partizan 4-0 UNA Strassen.

The market prices FK at 83% implied. Our number sits apart on UNA Strassen: a 29.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.