Skip to content
UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round · World

KuPS v Sabah FA

· Vare Areena, Kuopio

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

KuPS v Sabah FA: the model read

KuPS meet Sabah FA in the UEFA Champions League 2nd qualifying round at Vare Areena, Kuopio. The model makes Sabah FA the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% KUP, 30% draw, 37% SAB.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 75%. Attacking output favors Sabah FA on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Sabah FA at 53%; double chance reads KuPS or draw 63%, Sabah FA or draw 67%.

KuPS arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v VPS, L 0-1 @ Sabah FA, W 2-0 @ SJK, L 2-3 v Vardar Skopje.

Sabah FA are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v KuPS, W 2-1 @ The New Saints, W 2-0 v The New Saints, L 1-4 @ Polessya.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

KuPS

WLWLW11-6-3

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • WHVPS3-1
  • LASabah FA0-1
  • WASJK2-0
  • LHVardar Skopje2-3
  • WAVardar Skopje2-0

Sabah FA

DLWWW13-4-3

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WHKuPS1-0
  • WAThe New Saints2-1
  • WHThe New Saints2-0
  • LAPolessya1-4
  • DAFerencvarosi TC1-1

Managers

J. Wiss

Finland · 53

In charge since 2025 · 5 clubs managed

  • Inter Turku2023–2023
  • Ilves2016–2021
  • Finland U192014–2015
  • Tampere United2010–2011

Gomez Fernandez

Spain · 54

In charge since 2020 · 2 clubs managed

  • Olimpik Donetsk2019–2020

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.