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FC Porto v Aston Villa

2-1Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FC Porto v Aston Villa: the model read

FC Porto meet Aston Villa in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.

FC Porto rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1489. Recent form leans FC Porto, 78% against 45%. Attacking output favors Aston Villa on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

FC Porto arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 10 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Academico Viseu, W 2-0 v Arouca, W 2-0 @ Rio Ave, W 2-0 v Alverca.

Aston Villa are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Arsenal, L 0-4 @ Brighton, L 1-2 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach, L 1-2 @ Paris Saint Germain.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Porto

WWWWW14-3-3

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 35%

  • WAAcademico Viseu3-0
  • WHArouca2-0
  • WARio Ave2-0
  • WHAlverca2-0
  • WHTorreense1-0

Aston Villa

LLLLL8-2-10

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHArsenal0-1
  • LABrighton0-4
  • LABorussia Mönchengladbach1-2
  • LAParis Saint Germain1-2
  • LABayern München1-2

Managers

F. Farioli

Italy · 36

In charge since 2025 · 4 teams managed

  • Ajax2024–2025
  • Nice2023–2024
  • Alanyaspor2021–2023

Unai Emery

Head coach

In charge since 2022 · 4 teams managed

  • Villarreal2020–2022
  • Arsenal2018–2019
  • Paris Saint Germain2016–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.