União de Leiria v Alverca: the model read
União de Leiria meet Alverca in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes União de Leiria the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% UNI, 31% draw, 32% ALV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1496, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors União de Leiria on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans União de Leiria at 53%; double chance reads União de Leiria or draw 68%, Alverca or draw 63%.
União de Leiria arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Las Palmas, W 2-0 v AD Marco 09, L 0-1 v Alverca, D 2-2 v Feirense.
Alverca are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Mafra, W 2-0 v Estoril, W 2-1 v CF Os Belenenses, W 1-0 @ União de Leiria.
Alverca hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: União de Leiria 0-1 Alverca.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
