Boavista SC v CEAC / Araruama: the model read
Boavista SC meet CEAC / Araruama in the Copa Rio round 2 at Eucyzao, Saquarema. The model makes CEAC / Araruama the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 31% BOA, 34% draw, 34% CEA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 38%. Attacking output favors CEAC / Araruama on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans CEAC / Araruama at 52%; double chance reads Boavista SC or draw 66%, CEAC / Araruama or draw 69%.
Boavista SC arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v CEAC / Araruama, W 1-0 @ CEAC / Araruama, D 0-0 @ Botafogo, L 2-3 v Maringá.
CEAC / Araruama are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Boavista SC, L 0-1 v Boavista SC, D 1-1 v São Cristóvão RJ, D 1-1 v Cabofriense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
