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National League - South · National League South - 6 · England

Weston-super-Mare v Chelmsford City

· The Optima Stadium, Weston

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Weston-super-Mare v Chelmsford City: the model read

Weston-super-Mare meet Chelmsford City in the National League - South national league south - 6 at The Optima Stadium, Weston.

The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1547, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Chelmsford City, 58% against 50%. Attacking output favors Chelmsford City on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Chelmsford City at 52%; double chance reads Weston-super-Mare or draw 64%, Chelmsford City or draw 67%.

Weston-super-Mare arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Hemel Hempstead Town, L 2-3 v Dover, D 0-0 @ Torquay, W 3-0 v Hampton & Richmond.

Chelmsford City are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Maidenhead, D 1-1 @ Folkestone Invicta, D 0-0 v Truro City, D 1-1 @ Hemel Hempstead Town.

Weston-super-Mare hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chelmsford City 1-0 Weston-super-Mare.

The market prices WES at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Weston-super-Mare

WWDLW7-5-7

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.11 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 36.8%

  • WAHemel Hempstead Town3-1
  • LHDover2-3
  • DATorquay0-0
  • WHHampton & Richmond3-0
  • WHChesham United3-0

Chelmsford City

WDDDW7-7-4

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.22 · Clean sheets 38.9% · BTTS 55.6%

  • WHMaidenhead1-0
  • DAFolkestone Invicta1-1
  • DHTruro City0-0
  • DAHemel Hempstead Town1-1
  • WACanvey Island1-0

Head-to-head

7 meetings

Weston-super-MarerecordChelmsford City
3
2
2 draws

Goals

6-5

for each

Avg goals

1.6

per game

BTTS

14%

both scored

Over 2.5

14%

3+ goals

Weston-super-Mare

Recent
LWDWWD
Wins 3Goals 6-5

Biggest win 2-0

Chelmsford City

Recent
WLDLLD
Wins 2Goals 5-6

Biggest win 3-0

  • Chelmsford City1-0Weston-super-Mare
  • Chelmsford City0-2Weston-super-Mare
  • Weston-super-Mare0-0Chelmsford City
  • Chelmsford City0-1Weston-super-Mare
  • Weston-super-Mare2-0Chelmsford City
  • Chelmsford City1-1Weston-super-Mare
  • Weston-super-Mare0-3Chelmsford City

Managers

Scott Rogers

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Angelo Harrop

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.