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National League - South · National League South - 6 · England

Dorking Wanderers v Truro City

· Meadowbank, Dorking

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Dorking Wanderers v Truro City

Dorking Wanderers meet Truro City in the National League - South national league south - 6 at Meadowbank, Dorking.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Dorking Wanderers on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Truro City at 55%; double chance reads Dorking Wanderers or draw 63%, Truro City or draw 69%.

Dorking Wanderers arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Walton & Hersham, L 2-3 v Maidstone Utd, W 3-0 @ AFC Totton, D 0-0 @ Maidenhead.

Truro City are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Dagenham & Redbridge, W 2-0 @ Tonbridge Angels, W 2-1 v Southampton U21, D 0-0 @ Chelmsford City.

Dorking Wanderers hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Dorking Wanderers 0-0 Truro City.

The market prices DOR at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Truro City: a 6.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Dorking Wanderers

LDWLW7-3-10

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • WAWalton & Hersham4-1
  • LHMaidstone Utd2-3
  • WAAFC Totton3-0
  • DAMaidenhead0-0
  • LHDagenham & Redbridge0-1

Truro City

WDWWW7-5-8

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 0.80 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 30%

  • WHDagenham & Redbridge3-0
  • WATonbridge Angels2-0
  • WHSouthampton U212-1
  • DAChelmsford City0-0
  • WHMaidenhead2-0

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Dorking WanderersrecordTruro City
1
0
1 draw

Goals

2-1

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Dorking Wanderers

Recent
DW
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 2-1

Truro City

Recent
DL
Wins 0Goals 1-2
  • Dorking Wanderers0-0Truro City
  • Truro City1-2Dorking Wanderers

Managers

M. White

Head coach

In charge since 2018

J. Askey

England · 61

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Hartlepool United2023–2024
  • York City2023–2023
  • York City2021–2022
  • Port Vale2019–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.