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Regionalliga - West · West - 9 · Germany

Paderborn II v Borussia Dortmund II

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Paderborn II v Borussia Dortmund II

Paderborn II meet Borussia Dortmund II in the Regionalliga - West west - 9.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1613, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Borussia Dortmund II, 66% against 57%. Attacking output favors Paderborn II on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Paderborn II arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ FC Gutersloh, D 1-1 v Borussia Dortmund II, L 0-1 @ Wiedenbrück, W 5-2 v SG Wattenscheid 09.

Borussia Dortmund II are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v FC Bocholt, D 1-1 @ Paderborn II, W 2-1 v Westfalia Rhynern, W 3-2 v SV Rodinghausen.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Paderborn II 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II.

The market prices PAD at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Paderborn II: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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Paderborn II

DWLDW9-5-6

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • WAFC Gutersloh3-1
  • DHBorussia Dortmund II1-1
  • LAWiedenbrück0-1
  • WHSG Wattenscheid 095-2
  • DASportfreunde Siegen2-2

Borussia Dortmund II

DWWDW10-5-4

Scored 1.84 · Conceded 1.32 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 68.4%

  • WHFC Bocholt4-2
  • DAPaderborn II1-1
  • WHWestfalia Rhynern2-1
  • WHSV Rodinghausen3-2
  • DABorussia M'gladbach II0-0

Head-to-head

3 meetings

Paderborn IIrecordBorussia Dortmund II
1
1
1 draw

Goals

4-2

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

Paderborn II

Recent
DLW
Wins 1Goals 4-2

Biggest win 3-0

Borussia Dortmund II

Recent
DWL
Wins 1Goals 2-4

Biggest win 1-0

  • Paderborn II1-1Borussia Dortmund II
  • Borussia Dortmund II1-0Paderborn II
  • Paderborn II3-0Borussia Dortmund II

Managers

T. Bertels

Germany · 39

In charge since 2024 · 2 teams managed

  • Schalke 04 U172023–2024

M. Tullberg

Denmark · 40

In charge since 2025 · 4 teams managed

  • Borussia Dortmund2025–2025
  • Borussia Dortmund II2019–2020
  • RW Oberhausen U192014–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.