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Regionalliga - SudWest · Sudwest - 3 · Germany

VfR Mannheim v SGV Freiberg

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Match analysisPre-match brief

VfR Mannheim v SGV Freiberg: the model read

VfR Mannheim meet SGV Freiberg in the Regionalliga - SudWest sudwest - 3.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors VfR Mannheim on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans VfR Mannheim at 56%; double chance reads VfR Mannheim or draw 69%, SGV Freiberg or draw 60%.

VfR Mannheim arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v SGV Freiberg, L 1-2 v Eintracht Trier, D 2-2 @ FSV Frankfurt, L 0-2 v Waldhof Mannheim.

SGV Freiberg are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ VfR Mannheim, W 3-0 v FC 08 Homburg, W 5-0 @ Kaiserslautern II, L 0-3 v 1899 Hoffenheim.

SGV Freiberg hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: VfR Mannheim 0-0 SGV Freiberg.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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VfR Mannheim

LLDLD7-8-5

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • DHSGV Freiberg0-0
  • LHEintracht Trier1-2
  • DAFSV Frankfurt2-2
  • LHWaldhof Mannheim0-2
  • LAHoffenheim II0-2

SGV Freiberg

LLWWD7-6-7

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • DAVfR Mannheim0-0
  • WHFC 08 Homburg3-0
  • WAKaiserslautern II5-0
  • LH1899 Hoffenheim0-3
  • LHHoffenheim II1-6

Head-to-head

4 meetings

VfR MannheimrecordSGV Freiberg
1
2
1 draw

Goals

7-9

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

VfR Mannheim

Recent
DWLL
Wins 1Goals 7-9

Biggest win 6-4

SGV Freiberg

Recent
DLWW
Wins 2Goals 9-7

Biggest win 4-1

  • VfR Mannheim0-0SGV Freiberg
  • VfR Mannheim6-4SGV Freiberg
  • VfR Mannheim1-4SGV Freiberg
  • VfR Mannheim0-1SGV Freiberg

Managers

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Kushtrim Lushtaku

Kosovo · 36

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.