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Regionalliga - Nordost · Nordost - 4 · Germany

Erzgebirge Aue v BFC Preussen

· Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Erzgebirge Aue v BFC Preussen: the model read

Erzgebirge Aue meet BFC Preussen in the Regionalliga - Nordost nordost - 4 at Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue. The model makes BFC Preussen the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 33% ERZ, 27% draw, 40% BFC.

The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans BFC Preussen, 55% against 42%. Attacking output favors Erzgebirge Aue on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 85%, over 2.5 goals around 89%. Draw no bet leans BFC Preussen at 54%; double chance reads Erzgebirge Aue or draw 60%, BFC Preussen or draw 67%.

Erzgebirge Aue arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 v Kladno, W 7-1 v VfL Halle, W 3-0 @ ZFC Meuselwitz.

BFC Preussen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Werder Bremen II, L 0-1 @ ZFC Meuselwitz, D 2-2 v Tasmania Berlin, W 3-2 v Reinickendorfer Fuchse.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Erzgebirge Aue

WWWWL6-4-9

Scored 2.16 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 78.9%

  • LHFC Schalke 042-4
  • WHKladno2-0
  • WHVfL Halle7-1
  • WAZFC Meuselwitz3-0
  • WHVysočina Jihlava3-1

BFC Preussen

LWDLW9-4-7

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 65%

  • WAWerder Bremen II5-0
  • LAZFC Meuselwitz0-1
  • DHTasmania Berlin2-2
  • WHReinickendorfer Fuchse3-2
  • LASV Babelsberg 031-2

Managers

J. Härtel

Germany · 56

In charge since 2025 · 5 clubs managed

  • Eintracht Braunschweig2023–2023
  • Hansa Rostock2019–2022
  • Magdeburg2014–2018
  • BAK 072011–2013
Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.