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Regionalliga - Nordost · Nordost - 1 · Germany

Erzgebirge Aue v Altglienicke

· Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Erzgebirge Aue v Altglienicke: the model read

Erzgebirge Aue meet Altglienicke in the Regionalliga - Nordost nordost - 1 at Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue. The model makes Altglienicke the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 29% ERZ, 27% draw, 44% ALT.

The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Altglienicke, 60% against 42%. Attacking output favors Erzgebirge Aue on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans Altglienicke at 60%; double chance reads Erzgebirge Aue or draw 56%, Altglienicke or draw 71%.

Erzgebirge Aue arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 v Kladno, W 7-1 v VfL Halle, W 3-0 @ ZFC Meuselwitz.

Altglienicke are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v RB Leipzig, W 6-0 @ Krieschow, W 3-0 v Eintracht Mahlsdorf, W 3-2 v Phönix Lübeck.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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See plans

Erzgebirge Aue

WWWWL6-4-9

Scored 2.16 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 78.9%

  • LHFC Schalke 042-4
  • WHKladno2-0
  • WHVfL Halle7-1
  • WAZFC Meuselwitz3-0
  • WHVysočina Jihlava3-1

Altglienicke

WWWWL9-6-5

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • LHRB Leipzig1-2
  • WAKrieschow6-0
  • WHEintracht Mahlsdorf3-0
  • WHPhönix Lübeck3-2
  • WHUnion Klosterfelde4-0

Managers

J. Härtel

Germany · 56

In charge since 2025 · 5 clubs managed

  • Eintracht Braunschweig2023–2023
  • Hansa Rostock2019–2022
  • Magdeburg2014–2018
  • BAK 072011–2013

M. Salar

Türkiye · 49

In charge since 2023 · 2 clubs managed

  • Uerdingen2014–2015

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.