Where the market is wrong on Muğlaspor v Boluspor
Muğlaspor meet Boluspor in the 1. Lig regular season - 4 at Bodrum Ilce Stadi, Bodrum.
Muğlaspor rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Muğlaspor, 55% against 25%. Attacking output favors Boluspor on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 21%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Muğlaspor at 66%; double chance reads Muğlaspor or draw 77%, Boluspor or draw 57%.
Muğlaspor arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 2 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Boluspor, D 0-0 @ Bodrum FK, D 0-0 v Bandırmaspor, L 0-2 @ Sarıyer.
Boluspor are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Muğlaspor, L 0-3 v Mardin 1969, L 0-2 @ Batman Petrolspor, L 1-2 v Manisa F.K..
Muğlaspor hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Muğlaspor 2-0 Boluspor.
The market prices MUĞ at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 10.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
