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Brighton v AS Roma

3-0Full time· Amex Stadium, Brighton· Referee: R. Madley

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Brighton v AS Roma: the model read

Brighton meet AS Roma in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies at Amex Stadium, Brighton.

The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Brighton, 68% against 60%. Attacking output favors AS Roma on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 76%. Draw no bet leans Brighton at 56%; double chance reads Brighton or draw 68%, AS Roma or draw 60%.

Brighton arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 @ Chelsea, W 4-0 v Tromso, W 4-0 v Aston Villa, D 0-0 @ Tromso.

AS Roma are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Lecce, W 4-0 v Fiorentina, D 2-2 @ Borussia Dortmund, L 0-3 @ Brighton.

Brighton hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Brighton 3-0 AS Roma.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Brighton

WDWWL12-2-5

Scored 1.95 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 52.6% · BTTS 31.6%

  • LAChelsea3-4
  • WHTromso4-0
  • WHAston Villa4-0
  • DATromso0-0
  • WHBologna1-0

AS Roma

WLDWW10-4-6

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • WALecce4-0
  • WHFiorentina4-0
  • DABorussia Dortmund2-2
  • LABrighton0-3
  • WANewport County4-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

BrightonrecordAS Roma
2
1
0 draws

Goals

4-4

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Brighton

Recent
WWL
Wins 2Goals 4-4

Biggest win 3-0

AS Roma

Recent
LLW
Wins 1Goals 4-4

Biggest win 4-0

  • Brighton3-0AS Roma
  • Brighton1-0AS Roma
  • AS Roma4-0Brighton

Managers

F. Hürzeler

Germany · 32

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • St. Pauli2022–2024
  • Pipinsried2016–2020

G. Gasperini

Italy · 67

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Genoa2013–2016
  • Palermo2013–2013
  • Palermo2012–2013
  • Inter Milan2011–2011

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.