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Monza v Aris Thessalonikis

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Monza v Aris Thessalonikis: the model read

Monza meet Aris Thessalonikis in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Monza the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% MON, 31% draw, 30% ARI.

The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Monza, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors Monza on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Monza at 56%; double chance reads Monza or draw 70%, Aris Thessalonikis or draw 61%.

Monza arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Galatasaray, W 4-3 v PRO Vercelli, L 0-2 v Catanzaro, W 2-0 @ Catanzaro.

Aris Thessalonikis are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Levadiakos, W 2-1 @ Volos NFC, W 3-1 v OFI, W 2-0 @ OFI.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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See plans

Monza

WWLWW12-5-3

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 50%

  • WAGalatasaray2-0
  • WHPRO Vercelli4-3
  • LHCatanzaro0-2
  • WACatanzaro2-0
  • WHJuve Stabia2-1

Aris Thessalonikis

WWWWW8-8-4

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 45%

  • WHLevadiakos3-0
  • WAVolos NFC2-1
  • WHOFI3-1
  • WAOFI2-0
  • WHVolos NFC3-2

Managers

A. Nesta

Italy · 49

In charge since 2025 · 7 clubs managed

  • Monza2024–2024
  • Reggiana2023–2024
  • Frosinone2019–2021
  • Perugia2018–2019
Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.