Tondela v São João Ver: the model read
Tondela meet São João Ver in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes São João Ver the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% TON, 34% draw, 35% SÃO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Tondela on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans São João Ver at 53%; double chance reads Tondela or draw 65%, São João Ver or draw 69%.
Tondela arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Beira-Mar, L 0-1 @ Famalicao, W 2-1 v Academica, D 1-1 v Nacional.
São João Ver are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ União Lamas, L 0-1 @ SC Braga, W 2-1 v Sanjoanense, W 2-1 @ Fafe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
