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Fluminense v Nova Iguaçu

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Fluminense v Nova Iguaçu: the model read

Fluminense meet Nova Iguaçu in the Friendlies Clubs club friendly. The model makes Fluminense the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% FLU, 32% draw, 30% NOV.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors Fluminense on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Fluminense at 56%; double chance reads Fluminense or draw 70%, Nova Iguaçu or draw 62%.

Fluminense arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Bahia, D 1-1 @ Gremio, D 1-1 v RB Bragantino, W 2-0 v Bahia.

Nova Iguaçu are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v América RJ, W 1-0 @ América RJ, L 1-6 @ Fluminense, W 1-0 v XV de Piracicaba.

Fluminense hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fluminense 6-1 Nova Iguaçu.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Fluminense

WWDDD8-7-5

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • DHBahia0-0
  • DAGremio1-1
  • DHRB Bragantino1-1
  • WHBahia2-0
  • WHNova Iguaçu6-1

Nova Iguaçu

LWLWD6-8-6

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • DHAmérica RJ1-1
  • WAAmérica RJ1-0
  • LAFluminense1-6
  • WHXV de Piracicaba1-0
  • LACFRJ / Maricá0-1

Head-to-head

7 meetings

FluminenserecordNova Iguaçu
7
0
0 draws

Goals

19-4

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

43%

both scored

Over 2.5

57%

3+ goals

Fluminense

Recent
WWWWWW
Wins 7Goals 19-4

Biggest win 6-1

Nova Iguaçu

Recent
LLLLLL
Wins 0Goals 4-19
  • Fluminense6-1Nova Iguaçu
  • Nova Iguaçu2-3Fluminense
  • Fluminense2-0Nova Iguaçu
  • Fluminense3-0Nova Iguaçu
  • Fluminense1-0Nova Iguaçu
  • Nova Iguaçu0-1Fluminense
  • Fluminense3-1Nova Iguaçu

Managers

Renato Gaúcho

Head coach

In charge since 2025 · 3 clubs managed

  • Flamengo2021–2021
  • Gremio2016–2021

Kal

Brazil · 54

In charge since 2022 · 4 clubs managed

  • Nova Iguaçu2020–2021
  • Nova Iguaçu2019–2020
  • Nova Iguaçu2019–2019

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.