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Süper Lig · Regular Season - 4 · Turkey

Rizespor v Alanyaspor

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Rizespor v Alanyaspor

Rizespor meet Alanyaspor in the Süper Lig regular season - 4.

Rizespor rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1420. Recent form leans Rizespor, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Rizespor on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Rizespor arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Gaziantep FK, L 0-2 v Samsunspor, W 1-0 @ Konyaspor, W 2-1 v Pyramids FC.

Alanyaspor are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Eyüpspor, W 1-0 v Beşiktaş, D 1-1 @ Gaziantep FK, D 2-2 v Tikveš.

The market prices RIZ at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Alanyaspor: a 9.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Rizespor

DWWLW9-4-7

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • WAGaziantep FK2-1
  • LHSamsunspor0-2
  • WAKonyaspor1-0
  • WHPyramids FC2-1
  • DHAbha0-0

Alanyaspor

LDDWL4-8-8

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LAEyüpspor1-2
  • WHBeşiktaş1-0
  • DAGaziantep FK1-1
  • DHTikveš2-2
  • LAFatih Karagümrük1-2

Managers

Recep Ucar

Head coach

In charge since 2025

João Pereira

Portugal · 60

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Académica2021–2021
  • Grasshoppers2020–2021
  • Académica2019–2020
  • Servette2011–2012

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.