Where the market is wrong on Kocaelispor v Amed
Kocaelispor meet Amed in the Süper Lig regular season - 2 at Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli.
Amed rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans Amed, 70% against 35%. Attacking output favors Amed on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Amed at 73%; double chance reads Kocaelispor or draw 49%, Amed or draw 81%.
Kocaelispor arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Amed, L 0-2 @ Başakşehir, L 0-1 @ Antalyaspor, L 0-1 v Fatih Karagümrük.
Amed are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Kocaelispor, W 3-0 v Erzurumspor FK, W 2-0 v Dinamo Batumi, D 3-3 @ Iğdır FK.
Amed hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kocaelispor 2-0 Amed.
The market prices KOC at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Amed: a 21.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
