Cerrito v Miramar: the model read
Cerrito meet Miramar in the Segunda División 2nd phase - 10. The model makes Cerrito the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% CER, 32% draw, 33% MIR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cerrito, 53% against 42%. Attacking output favors Cerrito on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Cerrito at 52%; double chance reads Cerrito or draw 67%, Miramar or draw 65%.
Cerrito arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 2 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Rentistas, W 1-0 v Miramar, D 0-0 @ Tacuarembo, W 1-0 v Plaza Colonia.
Miramar are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v La Luz, L 1-2 @ Cashmere Technical, L 0-1 @ Cerrito, D 1-1 v Atenas.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
