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3. Liga · Regular Season - 3 · Germany

Verl v Fortuna Köln

1-2Full time· Sportclub Arena, Verl· Referee: L. Sambill

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Verl v Fortuna Köln

Verl meet Fortuna Köln in the 3. Liga regular season - 3 at Sportclub Arena, Verl.

Fortuna Köln rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1477. Recent form leans Fortuna Köln, 68% against 43%. Attacking output favors Fortuna Köln on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Verl arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Fortuna Köln, L 0-3 v Hamburger SV, L 2-4 v MSV Duisburg, L 1-4 @ Alemannia Aachen.

Fortuna Köln are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Verl, D 1-1 v Alemannia Aachen, L 0-1 @ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, W 3-0 v Kickers Offenbach.

The market prices VER at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Fortuna Köln: a 19.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Verl

LLLLL8-1-11

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • LHFortuna Köln1-2
  • LHHamburger SV0-3
  • LHMSV Duisburg2-4
  • LAAlemannia Aachen1-4
  • LARB Leipzig0-4

Fortuna Köln

WWLDW12-3-5

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WAVerl2-1
  • DHAlemannia Aachen1-1
  • LASG Sonnenhof Grossaspach0-1
  • WHKickers Offenbach3-0
  • WAVVV Venlo1-0

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