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Cadiz v AD Ceuta FC

· Estadio El Palmar

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Cadiz v AD Ceuta FC: the model read

Cadiz meet AD Ceuta FC in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies at Estadio El Palmar, undefined. The model makes AD Ceuta FC the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% CAD, 30% draw, 37% AD .

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AD Ceuta FC, 48% against 23%. Attacking output favors AD Ceuta FC on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans AD Ceuta FC at 53%; double chance reads Cadiz or draw 63%, AD Ceuta FC or draw 67%.

Cadiz arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Leicester, L 1-2 v Orlando Pirates, W 7-0 @ Barbate, L 1-4 @ Racing Santander.

AD Ceuta FC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Sevilla, W 1-0 v Albacete, W 2-0 @ FC Andorra, L 1-4 v Malaga.

AD Ceuta FC hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AD Ceuta FC 2-1 Cadiz.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Cadiz

WLWLL3-3-14

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 45%

  • LHLeicester0-1
  • LHOrlando Pirates1-2
  • WABarbate7-0
  • LARacing Santander1-4
  • WHLeganes3-0

AD Ceuta FC

DLWWL7-5-8

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • LASevilla1-2
  • WHAlbacete1-0
  • WAFC Andorra2-0
  • LHMalaga1-4
  • DHCastellón1-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

CadizrecordAD Ceuta FC
0
2
1 draw

Goals

1-5

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Cadiz

Recent
LDL
Wins 0Goals 1-5

AD Ceuta FC

Recent
WDW
Wins 2Goals 5-1

Biggest win 3-0

  • AD Ceuta FC2-1Cadiz
  • Cadiz0-0AD Ceuta FC
  • Cadiz0-3AD Ceuta FC

Managers

Gaizka Garitano

Head coach

In charge since 2024 · 5 clubs managed

  • Almeria2023–2024
  • Eibar2021–2023
  • Athletic Club2018–2021
  • Deportivo La Coruna2016–2017

Antonio José Poveda Sánchez

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.