Pisa v Pavia: the model read
Pisa meet Pavia in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Pavia the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 27% PIS, 31% draw, 42% PAV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pavia, 50% against 15%. Attacking output favors Pavia on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Pavia at 61%; double chance reads Pisa or draw 58%, Pavia or draw 73%.
Pisa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v PRO Vercelli, D 1-1 v Juventus U23, W 6-1 v Pavia, L 1-2 @ Lazio.
Pavia are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Albinoleffe, L 1-6 @ Pisa, W 1-0 @ Breno, L 1-2 @ Chievo.
Pisa hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pisa 6-1 Pavia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output