Alverca v CF Os Belenenses: the model read
Alverca meet CF Os Belenenses in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes CF Os Belenenses the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 33% ALV, 31% draw, 35% CF .
The baseline ratings are close, 1496 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors CF Os Belenenses on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans CF Os Belenenses at 51%; double chance reads Alverca or draw 65%, CF Os Belenenses or draw 67%.
Alverca arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Mafra, W 2-0 v Estoril, W 2-1 v CF Os Belenenses, W 1-0 @ União de Leiria.
CF Os Belenenses are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Benfica, L 1-2 @ Alverca, D 0-0 v Farense, L 0-1 @ Farense.
Alverca hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alverca 2-1 CF Os Belenenses.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
