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Port Vale v Tamworth

5-0Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Port Vale v Tamworth: the model read

Port Vale meet Tamworth in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Tamworth the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% POR, 30% draw, 37% TAM.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Tamworth on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Tamworth at 53%; double chance reads Port Vale or draw 63%, Tamworth or draw 67%.

Port Vale arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Real Murcia, W 3-1 @ Wigan, W 5-0 v Tamworth, L 0-2 v Lincoln.

Tamworth are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Macclesfield, D 2-2 @ Halesowen Town, L 1-2 v Aston Villa U21, W 3-1 v Stoke City U21.

Port Vale hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Port Vale 5-0 Tamworth.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Port Vale

WLWWW9-3-8

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 25%

  • WHReal Murcia1-0
  • WAWigan3-1
  • WHTamworth5-0
  • LHLincoln0-2
  • WAStockport County2-1

Tamworth

LWLDD9-4-7

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • DHMacclesfield1-1
  • DAHalesowen Town2-2
  • LHAston Villa U211-2
  • WHStoke City U213-1
  • LAPort Vale0-5

Head-to-head

1 meeting

Port ValerecordTamworth
1
0
0 draws

Goals

5-0

for each

Avg goals

5.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Port Vale

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 5-0

Biggest win 5-0

Tamworth

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-5
  • Port Vale5-0Tamworth

Managers

D. Moore

Jamaica · 51

In charge since 2024 · 5 clubs managed

  • Huddersfield Town2023–2024
  • Sheffield Wednesday2021–2023
  • Doncaster Rovers2019–2021
  • West Bromwich Albion2018–2019
Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.