Santos v União São João: the model read
Santos meet União São João in the Friendlies Clubs club friendly. The model makes Santos the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% SAN, 30% draw, 26% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1547 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Santos, 58% against 45%. Attacking output favors Santos on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Santos at 62%; double chance reads Santos or draw 74%, União São João or draw 56%.
Santos arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v UCV, D 2-2 v Chapecoense-sc, W 4-1 @ UCV, L 1-2 @ Botafogo.
União São João are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Noroeste, D 0-0 v XV de Piracicaba, L 0-3 @ Santos, D 2-2 v EC São Bernardo.
Santos hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santos 3-0 União São João.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
