Carmarthen Town v Trefelin: the model read
Carmarthen Town meet Trefelin in the Friendlies Clubs club friendly. The model makes Trefelin the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 23% CAR, 25% draw, 52% TRE.
Trefelin rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1466. Recent form leans Trefelin, 80% against 45%. Attacking output favors Trefelin on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Trefelin at 69%; double chance reads Carmarthen Town or draw 48%, Trefelin or draw 77%.
Carmarthen Town arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Briton Ferry, L 1-3 v Cardiff MET, W 4-2 v Trefelin, L 1-4 @ Treowen Stars.
Trefelin are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 21 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-8 @ Bromsgrove Sporting, L 2-4 @ Carmarthen Town, W 5-0 @ Newport City, W 6-0 v Treowen Stars.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output