Where the market is wrong on Inhulets v Prykarpattia
Inhulets meet Prykarpattia in the Persha Liga regular season - 9.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Prykarpattia on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Inhulets arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Prykarpattia, W 1-0 v Metal Kharkiv, D 0-0 @ SK Poltava, W 2-1 @ UCSA.
Prykarpattia are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Inhulets, W 1-0 v UCSA, L 0-2 v FC Kharkiv, W 2-1 @ Nyva Ternopil.
Inhulets hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Inhulets 2-1 Prykarpattia.
The market prices INH at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
