Where the market is wrong on SK Poltava v Metal Kharkiv
SK Poltava meet Metal Kharkiv in the Persha Liga regular season - 8 at Lokomotyv Stadium, Poltava.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 50%. Attacking output favors SK Poltava on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
SK Poltava arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Metal Kharkiv, L 1-2 @ Lokomotiv Kyiv, D 0-0 v Inhulets, W 1-0 @ Kolos Kovalivka II.
Metal Kharkiv are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ SK Poltava, L 0-1 @ Inhulets, W 1-0 @ Viktoriya Mykolaivka, W 3-1 v UCSA.
The market prices SK at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Metal Kharkiv: a 12.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output