Racing Montevideo v Boston River

Racing Montevideo meet Boston River in the Primera División - Apertura torneo intermedio - 7 at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, Montevideo. The model makes Racing Montevideo the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% RAC, 31% draw, 23% BOS.

Racing Montevideo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1420. Recent form leans Racing Montevideo, 68% against 35%. Attacking output favors Racing Montevideo on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Racing Montevideo at 66%; double chance reads Racing Montevideo or draw 77%, Boston River or draw 54%.

Racing Montevideo arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Cerro, D 1-1 v Penarol, D 1-1 @ Central Espanol, D 0-0 v Defensor Sporting.

Boston River are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Penarol, D 0-0 v Central Espanol, D 1-1 @ Defensor Sporting, L 0-1 v Liverpool Montevideo.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Boston River 0-1 Racing Montevideo.

The market prices RAC at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.