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Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 7 · Mexico

CDS Tampico Madero v Venados FC

4-3Full time· Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad Madero· Referee: E. Miranda

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on CDS Tampico Madero v Venados FC

CDS Tampico Madero meet Venados FC in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 7 at Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad Madero.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CDS Tampico Madero, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Venados FC on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.

CDS Tampico Madero arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v Venados FC, L 0-2 @ Mineros de Zacatecas, W 2-1 v Alebrijes de Oaxaca, L 0-4 @ Leones Negros UDG.

Venados FC are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 12 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 @ CDS Tampico Madero, L 1-3 @ Tlaxcala, W 4-2 v Dorados, L 1-5 @ Mineros de Zacatecas.

CDS Tampico Madero hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CDS Tampico Madero 4-3 Venados FC.

The market prices CDS at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Venados FC: a 7.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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CDS Tampico Madero

WLWLW9-5-6

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • WHVenados FC4-3
  • LAMineros de Zacatecas0-2
  • WHAlebrijes de Oaxaca2-1
  • LALeones Negros UDG0-4
  • WHCruz Azul Hidalgo3-0

Venados FC

WLWLL6-5-9

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 70%

  • LACDS Tampico Madero3-4
  • LATlaxcala1-3
  • WHDorados4-2
  • LAMineros de Zacatecas1-5
  • WHTapatío3-2

Head-to-head

5 meetings

CDS Tampico MaderorecordVenados FC
2
0
3 draws

Goals

8-6

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

CDS Tampico Madero

Recent
WDDWD
Wins 2Goals 8-6

Biggest win 4-3

Venados FC

Recent
LDDLD
Wins 0Goals 6-8
  • CDS Tampico Madero4-3Venados FC
  • CDS Tampico Madero1-1Venados FC
  • Venados FC1-1CDS Tampico Madero
  • Venados FC1-2CDS Tampico Madero
  • CDS Tampico Madero0-0Venados FC

Managers

Marco Ruiz

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Nacho Castro

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Card

MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.