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Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 5 · Mexico

CA La Paz v Cruz Azul Hidalgo

1-1Full time· Estadio Guaycura, La Paz· Referee: J. L. Alba Dorado

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Match analysisPre-match brief

CA La Paz v Cruz Azul Hidalgo: the model read

CA La Paz meet Cruz Azul Hidalgo in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 5 at Estadio Guaycura, La Paz.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors CA La Paz on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans CA La Paz at 53%; double chance reads CA La Paz or draw 68%, Cruz Azul Hidalgo or draw 64%.

CA La Paz arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Cruz Azul Hidalgo, W 2-0 v Piratas, W 5-0 @ Tepatitlán, L 0-1 v Durango.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ CA La Paz, L 1-2 v Monarcas, L 0-3 @ CDS Tampico Madero, D 1-1 v Venados FC.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: CA La Paz 1-1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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CA La Paz

LLWWD6-8-6

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • DHCruz Azul Hidalgo1-1
  • WHPiratas2-0
  • WATepatitlán5-0
  • LHDurango0-1
  • LAMonarcas2-4

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

DDLLD7-8-5

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • DACA La Paz1-1
  • LHMonarcas1-2
  • LACDS Tampico Madero0-3
  • DHVenados FC1-1
  • DATapatío0-0

Head-to-head

1 meeting

CA La PazrecordCruz Azul Hidalgo
0
0
1 draw

Goals

1-1

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

CA La Paz

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1
  • CA La Paz1-1Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Managers

Hugo Castillo

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.