Cruz Azul Hidalgo v Venados FC: the model read
Cruz Azul Hidalgo meet Venados FC in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 2. The model makes Cruz Azul Hidalgo the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% CRU, 30% draw, 30% VEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cruz Azul Hidalgo, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Venados FC on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Cruz Azul Hidalgo at 57%; double chance reads Cruz Azul Hidalgo or draw 70%, Venados FC or draw 60%.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Tapatío, D 1-1 v Irapuato, L 0-2 @ Irapuato, D 1-1 v Durango.
Venados FC are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Alebrijes de Oaxaca, D 2-2 @ Tlaxcala, W 2-1 v Leones Negros UDG, D 1-1 @ CDS Tampico Madero.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output