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FAW Championship · South - 6 · Wales

Cardiff Draconians v Pontardawe Town

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Cardiff Draconians v Pontardawe Town: the model read

Cardiff Draconians meet Pontardawe Town in the FAW Championship south - 6.

The baseline ratings are close, 1407 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 34% against 28%. Attacking output favors Cardiff Draconians on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Cardiff Draconians at 58%; double chance reads Cardiff Draconians or draw 70%, Pontardawe Town or draw 58%.

Cardiff Draconians arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v llanelli AFC, L 1-4 v Pontypridd Town, D 0-0 @ Caerphilly Athletic, L 0-1 @ Ynyshir Albions.

Pontardawe Town are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Aberystwyth Town, L 0-1 @ Afan Lido, L 0-4 v Newport City, L 2-3 @ Pontypridd Town.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Cardiff Draconians

WLDLW5-3-11

Scored 1.58 · Conceded 1.95 · Clean sheets 10.5% · BTTS 63.2%

  • WHllanelli AFC4-2
  • LHPontypridd Town1-4
  • DACaerphilly Athletic0-0
  • LAYnyshir Albions0-1
  • WHAfan Lido4-1

Pontardawe Town

WLLLL3-5-12

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 2.40 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 50%

  • LAAberystwyth Town0-1
  • LAAfan Lido0-1
  • LHNewport City0-4
  • LAPontypridd Town2-3
  • WHCaerphilly Athletic3-0

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.