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FAW Championship · South - 4 · Wales

Afan Lido v Pontardawe Town

1-0Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Afan Lido v Pontardawe Town: the model read

Afan Lido meet Pontardawe Town in the FAW Championship south - 4.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Afan Lido, 40% against 28%. Attacking output favors Afan Lido on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Afan Lido at 58%; double chance reads Afan Lido or draw 69%, Pontardawe Town or draw 58%.

Afan Lido arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Pontardawe Town, L 1-3 @ Carmarthen Town, W 5-0 v Llantwit Major, L 2-5 v Aberystwyth Town.

Pontardawe Town are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Afan Lido, L 0-4 v Newport City, L 2-3 @ Pontypridd Town, W 3-0 v Caerphilly Athletic.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Afan Lido

LLWLW8-0-12

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • WHPontardawe Town1-0
  • LACarmarthen Town1-3
  • WHLlantwit Major5-0
  • LHAberystwyth Town2-5
  • LACardiff MET1-2

Pontardawe Town

LWLLL3-5-12

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 2.55 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 55%

  • LAAfan Lido0-1
  • LHNewport City0-4
  • LAPontypridd Town2-3
  • WHCaerphilly Athletic3-0
  • LACardiff MET0-5

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.