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FAW Championship · North - 6 · Wales

Bala Town v Newtown AFC

· Maes Tegid, Bala

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Bala Town v Newtown AFC: the model read

Bala Town meet Newtown AFC in the FAW Championship north - 6 at Maes Tegid, Bala.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 47%. Attacking output favors Newtown AFC on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Bala Town at 50%; double chance reads Bala Town or draw 65%, Newtown AFC or draw 64%.

Bala Town arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Rhyl, W 3-0 v Gresford Athletic, W 2-1 v Ruthin Town, W 2-1 @ Bangor City 1876 FC.

Newtown AFC are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 16 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Llanuwchllyn, D 1-1 v Guilsfield, W 5-0 v Penrhyncoch, W 3-0 @ Gresford Athletic.

Newtown AFC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Newtown AFC 1-1 Bala Town.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bala Town

LWWWW7-4-9

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • WARhyl3-1
  • WHGresford Athletic3-0
  • WHRuthin Town2-1
  • WABangor City 1876 FC2-1
  • LHColwyn Bay0-4

Newtown AFC

WWWDW8-2-9

Scored 1.58 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 31.6%

  • WHLlanuwchllyn4-0
  • DHGuilsfield1-1
  • WHPenrhyncoch5-0
  • WAGresford Athletic3-0
  • WARuthin Town3-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Bala TownrecordNewtown AFC
2
4
4 draws

Goals

16-16

for each

Avg goals

3.2

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Bala Town

Recent
DDDDWW
Wins 2Goals 16-16

Biggest win 5-1

Newtown AFC

Recent
DDDDLL
Wins 4Goals 16-16

Biggest win 4-2

  • Newtown AFC1-1Bala Town
  • Newtown AFC0-0Bala Town
  • Bala Town2-2Newtown AFC
  • Bala Town1-1Newtown AFC
  • Newtown AFC1-5Bala Town
  • Bala Town2-1Newtown AFC
  • Newtown AFC1-0Bala Town
  • Bala Town2-4Newtown AFC
  • Bala Town1-2Newtown AFC
  • Newtown AFC3-2Bala Town

Managers

Matt Digwood

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Simon Spender

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.