Where the market is wrong on Katwijk v De Treffers
Katwijk meet De Treffers in the Tweede Divisie regular season - 6 at Sportpark De Krom, Katwijk.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans De Treffers, 75% against 60%. Attacking output favors De Treffers on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.0 per match.
Katwijk arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Sparta Rotterdam II, W 3-2 v Almere City II, L 2-3 @ TOGB, W 2-0 @ Barendrecht.
De Treffers are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Koninklijke HFC, D 2-2 @ HHC, D 1-1 v Rijnsburgse Boys, W 3-0 @ ROHDA Raalte.
De Treffers hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: De Treffers 4-1 Katwijk.
The market prices KAT at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
