Where the market is wrong on RKAV Volendam v Spakenburg
RKAV Volendam meet Spakenburg in the Tweede Divisie regular season - 2 at KWABO-stadion, Volendam.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors Spakenburg on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Spakenburg at 56%; double chance reads RKAV Volendam or draw 60%, Spakenburg or draw 69%.
RKAV Volendam arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Spakenburg, L 0-5 @ Quick Boys, L 2-3 v FC Volendam, L 0-7 @ Rijnsburgse Boys.
Spakenburg are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ RKAV Volendam, W 1-0 v Katwijk, D 1-1 v Sparta Rotterdam II, L 2-3 @ Koninklijke HFC.
Spakenburg hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: RKAV Volendam 2-1 Spakenburg.
The market prices RKA at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on RKAV Volendam: a 9.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
