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Football League - Lowland League · Regular Season · Scotland

Johnstone Burgh v Troon FC

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Johnstone Burgh v Troon FC: the model read

Johnstone Burgh meet Troon FC in the Football League - Lowland League regular season. The model makes Johnstone Burgh the most likely outcome at 53%, with the full read 53% JO, 28% draw, 19% TRO.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Johnstone Burgh, 25% against 0%. Attacking output favors Johnstone Burgh on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 16%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Johnstone Burgh at 74%; double chance reads Johnstone Burgh or draw 81%, Troon FC or draw 47%.

Johnstone Burgh arrive patchy: 1W-0D-3L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Elgin City, L 1-4 @ Annan Athletic, L 0-1 @ Camelon Juniors, W 4-0 v Threave Rovers.

Troon FC are out of sorts: 0W-0D-1L from their last five (0/15 pts), 0 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Pollok.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Johnstone Burgh

WLLL1-0-3

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • LHElgin City2-3
  • LAAnnan Athletic1-4
  • LACamelon Juniors0-1
  • WHThreave Rovers4-0

Troon FC

L0-0-1

Scored 0.00 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 0% · BTTS 0%

  • LAPollok0-2

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.