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3. Division · Regular Season - 5 · Denmark

Holbæk B&I v Næsby

3-2Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Holbæk B&I v Næsby

Holbæk B&I meet Næsby in the 3. Division regular season - 5.

Holbæk B&I rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1753 to 1604. Recent form leans Holbæk B&I, 83% against 63%. Attacking output favors Holbæk B&I on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.3 per match.

Holbæk B&I arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Næsby, W 4-1 @ Brønshøj, W 2-1 v Sundby, D 2-2 @ Holstebro.

Næsby are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Holbæk B&I, W 5-0 @ Munkebo, W 5-1 @ Ishøj, D 0-0 v Brønshøj.

Holbæk B&I hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Holbæk B&I 3-2 Næsby.

The market prices HOL at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Næsby: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Holbæk B&I

LDWWW16-1-3

Scored 2.50 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 75%

  • WHNæsby3-2
  • WABrønshøj4-1
  • WHSundby2-1
  • DAHolstebro2-2
  • LHAB Copenhagen1-2

Næsby

LDWWL11-3-6

Scored 2.25 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LAHolbæk B&I2-3
  • WAMunkebo5-0
  • WAIshøj5-1
  • DHBrønshøj0-0
  • LAVanløse0-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Holbæk B&IrecordNæsby
5
3
2 draws

Goals

24-18

for each

Avg goals

4.2

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

90%

3+ goals

Holbæk B&I

Recent
WLLDDW
Wins 5Goals 24-18

Biggest win 4-0

Næsby

Recent
LWWDDL
Wins 3Goals 18-24

Biggest win 2-0

  • Holbæk B&I3-2Næsby
  • Holbæk B&I1-2Næsby
  • Næsby2-0Holbæk B&I
  • Holbæk B&I2-2Næsby
  • Næsby3-3Holbæk B&I
  • Holbæk B&I4-0Næsby
  • Næsby2-3Holbæk B&I
  • Næsby3-2Holbæk B&I
  • Holbæk B&I3-2Næsby
  • Næsby0-3Holbæk B&I

Managers

Janus Blond

Head coach

In charge since 2025

A. Bech

Denmark · 38

In charge since 2023

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.