Where the market is wrong on Brønshøj v Ishøj
Brønshøj meet Ishøj in the 3. Division regular season - 1 at Tingbjerg Idraetspark, undefined. The model makes Brønshøj the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% BRØ, 30% draw, 32% ISH.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Brønshøj, 42% against 25%. Attacking output favors Brønshøj on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Brønshøj at 55%; double chance reads Brønshøj or draw 68%, Ishøj or draw 62%.
Brønshøj arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v HIK, W 1-0 v Avarta, L 1-2 v AB Copenhagen, D 2-2 v Fremad Amager.
Ishøj are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Frem, L 1-2 @ Hørsholm-Usserød, D 1-1 @ Skive, L 0-1 v VSK Århus.
Ishøj hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Ishøj 2-1 Brønshøj.
The market prices BRØ at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
