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First League · Regular Season - 12 · Russia

FC Sochi v Ska-khabarovsk

· Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on FC Sochi v Ska-khabarovsk

FC Sochi meet Ska-khabarovsk in the First League regular season - 12 at Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi.

FC Sochi rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans FC Sochi, 57% against 26%. Attacking output favors FC Sochi on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.2 per match.

FC Sochi arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Veles, L 0-2 @ Dinamo St. Petersburg, L 0-1 v Nizhny Novgorod, W 2-1 v Chelyabinsk.

Ska-khabarovsk are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Arsenal Tula, W 4-0 @ Znamya Noginsk, L 2-3 @ Leningradets, L 0-2 v Torpedo Moskva.

FC Sochi hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Sochi 4-2 Ska-khabarovsk.

The market prices FC at 66% implied. Our number sits apart on Ska-khabarovsk: a 13.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Sochi

WWLLW10-3-7

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 65%

  • WAVeles2-1
  • LADinamo St. Petersburg0-2
  • LHNizhny Novgorod0-1
  • WHChelyabinsk2-1
  • WAKAMAZ3-2

Ska-khabarovsk

LLLWD3-4-12

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 47.4%

  • DAArsenal Tula2-2
  • WAZnamya Noginsk4-0
  • LALeningradets2-3
  • LHTorpedo Moskva0-2
  • LANizhny Novgorod2-4

Head-to-head

6 meetings

FC SochirecordSka-khabarovsk
3
1
2 draws

Goals

11-7

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

FC Sochi

Recent
WWLDWD
Wins 3Goals 11-7

Biggest win 4-2

Ska-khabarovsk

Recent
LLWDLD
Wins 1Goals 7-11

Biggest win 2-1

  • FC Sochi4-2Ska-khabarovsk
  • Ska-khabarovsk0-1FC Sochi
  • FC Sochi1-2Ska-khabarovsk
  • Ska-khabarovsk1-1PFC Sochi
  • PFC Sochi2-0Ska-Khabarovsk
  • Ska-Khabarovsk2-2PFC Sochi

Managers

Igor Osinkin

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Mikhail Semenov

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.