Where the market is wrong on Chelyabinsk v FC UFA
Chelyabinsk meet FC UFA in the First League regular season - 12 at Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk.
The baseline ratings are close, 1407 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC UFA, 53% against 37%. Attacking output favors FC UFA on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Chelyabinsk arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ KAMAZ, W 2-0 @ Dinamo Barnaul, L 0-1 v Spartak Kostroma, L 1-2 @ FC Sochi.
FC UFA are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Volga Ulyanovsk, L 0-1 @ Kaluga, D 1-1 v Veles, W 1-0 @ FK Neftekhimik.
The market prices CHE at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on FC UFA: a 13.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
