Where the market is wrong on KAMAZ v Chelyabinsk
KAMAZ meet Chelyabinsk in the First League regular season - 11 at KAMAZ Stadium, Naberezhnye Chelny.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 30% against 37%. Attacking output favors Chelyabinsk on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
KAMAZ arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Chelyabinsk, L 0-1 @ Dinamo Kirov, L 0-2 @ Ural, W 1-0 @ Leningradets.
Chelyabinsk are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ KAMAZ, W 2-0 @ Dinamo Barnaul, L 0-1 v Spartak Kostroma, L 1-2 @ FC Sochi.
The market prices KAM at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Chelyabinsk: a 11.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
