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First League · Regular Season - 10 · Russia

Volga Ulyanovsk v Arsenal Tula

3-0Full time· Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Volga Ulyanovsk v Arsenal Tula: the model read

Volga Ulyanovsk meet Arsenal Tula in the First League regular season - 10 at Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 37%. Attacking output favors Volga Ulyanovsk on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.

Volga Ulyanovsk arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Volgar Astrakhan, W 3-0 v Arsenal Tula, D 2-2 @ Nizhny Novgorod, L 1-3 v Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Arsenal Tula are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Tekstilshchik, L 0-3 @ Volga Ulyanovsk, D 2-2 v Ural, L 0-2 @ Veles.

Volga Ulyanovsk hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Volga Ulyanovsk 3-0 Arsenal Tula.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Volga Ulyanovsk

LLDWD6-5-9

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • DAVolgar Astrakhan0-0
  • WHArsenal Tula3-0
  • DANizhny Novgorod2-2
  • LHShinnik Yaroslavl1-3
  • LAFC Sochi0-1

Arsenal Tula

WLDLL3-8-8

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.74 · Clean sheets 10.5% · BTTS 57.9%

  • LATekstilshchik0-1
  • LAVolga Ulyanovsk0-3
  • DHUral2-2
  • LAVeles0-2
  • WHRotor Volgograd2-1

Head-to-head

6 meetings

Volga UlyanovskrecordArsenal Tula
4
1
1 draw

Goals

8-4

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Volga Ulyanovsk

Recent
WWWWDL
Wins 4Goals 8-4

Biggest win 3-0

Arsenal Tula

Recent
LLLLDW
Wins 1Goals 4-8

Biggest win 2-0

  • Volga Ulyanovsk3-0Arsenal Tula
  • Arsenal Tula1-2Volga Ulyanovsk
  • Arsenal Tula0-1Volga Ulyanovsk
  • Volga Ulyanovsk2-1Arsenal Tula
  • Volga Ulyanovsk0-0Arsenal Tula
  • Arsenal Tula2-0Volga Ulyanovsk

Managers

Mikhail Belov

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Dmitry Gunko

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.