Where the market is wrong on Spartak Kostroma v Ural
Spartak Kostroma meet Ural in the First League regular season - 7 at Stadion Urozhay, Kostroma.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 57%. Attacking output favors Ural on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Spartak Kostroma arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Ural, W 1-0 @ Volga Ulyanovsk, W 1-0 v FK Neftekhimik, W 2-0 @ Ryazan.
Ural are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Spartak Kostroma, W 1-0 @ FK Neftekhimik, D 1-1 @ Shinnik Yaroslavl, L 1-2 @ Luki-Energiya.
Ural hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spartak Kostroma 1-2 Ural.
The market prices SPA at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
