Where the market is wrong on Enisey v Veles
Enisey meet Veles in the First League regular season - 3 at Tsentralnyi Stadion, Krasnoyarsk. The model makes Enisey the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% ENI, 32% draw, 26% VEL.
Enisey rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1492. Recent form leans Enisey, 70% against 47%. Attacking output favors Enisey on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Enisey at 62%; double chance reads Enisey or draw 74%, Veles or draw 57%.
Enisey arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Veles, L 0-3 @ Ural, W 2-1 @ Volga Ulyanovsk, D 1-1 v Andijan.
Veles are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Enisey, W 1-0 v Chelyabinsk, W 1-0 @ FK Neftekhimik, D 2-2 @ Ska-khabarovsk.
Enisey hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Enisey 4-1 Veles.
The market prices ENI at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Veles: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
