Leningradets v Ural

Leningradets meet Ural in the First League regular season - 3 at Petrovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg. The model makes Ural the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 25% LEN, 31% draw, 44% URA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Ural on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Ural at 64%; double chance reads Leningradets or draw 56%, Ural or draw 75%.

Leningradets arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 0 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Ural, L 0-2 @ Shinnik Yaroslavl, L 0-3 @ FC UFA, L 0-3 @ Dinamo Makhachkala.

Ural are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Leningradets, W 3-0 v Enisey, L 0-1 v Torpedo Moskva, D 1-1 v Chelyabinsk.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Leningradets 0-0 Ural.

The market prices LEN at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Leningradets: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.