Shinnik Yaroslavl v Leningradets: the model read
Shinnik Yaroslavl meet Leningradets in the First League regular season - 2 at Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl. The model makes Shinnik Yaroslavl the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% SHI, 30% draw, 21% LEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Shinnik Yaroslavl, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Shinnik Yaroslavl on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Shinnik Yaroslavl at 70%; double chance reads Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw 79%, Leningradets or draw 51%.
Shinnik Yaroslavl arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Torpedo Moskva, W 2-0 v Leningradets, D 2-2 v FC Sochi, D 1-1 @ CSKA Moscow.
Leningradets are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 0 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Ural, L 0-2 @ Shinnik Yaroslavl, L 0-3 @ FC UFA, L 0-3 @ Dinamo Makhachkala.
Shinnik Yaroslavl hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shinnik Yaroslavl 2-0 Leningradets.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
