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Reserve League · Clausura - 3 · Argentina

Atlético Tucumán Res. v Sarmiento Res.

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Atlético Tucumán Res. v Sarmiento Res.: the model read

Atlético Tucumán Res. meet Sarmiento Res. in the Reserve League clausura - 3. The model makes Atlético Tucumán Res. the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% ATL, 31% draw, 31% SAR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Atlético Tucumán Res., 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Atlético Tucumán Res. on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Atlético Tucumán Res. at 55%; double chance reads Atlético Tucumán Res. or draw 69%, Sarmiento Res. or draw 62%.

Atlético Tucumán Res. arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Argentinos Juniors Res., W 2-1 v Aldosivi Res., L 0-3 @ Boca Juniors Res., W 2-1 v Gimnasia La Plata Res..

Sarmiento Res. are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Godoy Cruz Res., W 1-0 @ Gimnasia Mendoza 2, D 0-0 @ Barracas Central Res., L 1-2 v Talleres Córdoba Res..

Sarmiento Res. hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sarmiento Res. 1-2 Atlético Tucumán Res..

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Atlético Tucumán Res.

LWLWL9-3-8

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 55%

  • LAArgentinos Juniors Res.0-1
  • WHAldosivi Res.2-1
  • LABoca Juniors Res.0-3
  • WHGimnasia La Plata Res.2-1
  • LAUnión Santa Fe Res.0-2

Sarmiento Res.

LLDWW6-4-10

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • WHGodoy Cruz Res.2-1
  • WAGimnasia Mendoza 21-0
  • DABarracas Central Res.0-0
  • LHTalleres Córdoba Res.1-2
  • LABanfield Res.1-2

Head-to-head

6 meetings

Atlético Tucumán Res.recordSarmiento Res.
2
3
1 draw

Goals

8-9

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Atlético Tucumán Res.

Recent
WWDLLL
Wins 2Goals 8-9

Biggest win 2-0

Sarmiento Res.

Recent
LLDWWW
Wins 3Goals 9-8

Biggest win 2-0

  • Sarmiento Res.1-2Atlético Tucumán Res.
  • Sarmiento Res.0-2Atlético Tucumán Res.
  • Atlético Tucumán Res.2-2Sarmiento Res.
  • Atlético Tucumán Res.1-2Sarmiento Res.
  • Sarmiento Res.2-0Atlético Tucumán Res.
  • Sarmiento Res.2-1Atlético Tucumán Res.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.