Auckland City v Takapuna: the model read
Auckland City meet Takapuna in the Chatham Cup round of 16. The model makes Auckland City the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% AUC, 25% draw, 24% TAK.
Auckland City rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Auckland City, 65% against 30%. Attacking output favors Auckland City on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Auckland City at 68%; double chance reads Auckland City or draw 76%, Takapuna or draw 49%.
Auckland City arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Fencibles United, W 3-0 v Takapuna, D 1-1 @ Wellington Olympic, W 3-0 v Coastal Spirit.
Takapuna are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Auckland City, L 1-2 @ Fencibles United, W 6-0 @ Internationale, L 1-3 @ North Shore United.
Auckland City hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Auckland City 3-0 Takapuna.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output